In Tight U.S. Presidential Race, Latino Voters’ Preferences Mirror 2020

A pie chart showing that Harris leads Trump among Latino registered voters As the final leg of the presidential campaign begins following an eventful summer, a majority of Latino registered voters (57%) say they would vote for Vice President Kamala Harris and 39% would vote for former President Donald Trump, according to a Pew Research Center survey conducted Aug. 26-Sept. 2, 2024. 1

Harris performs substantially better among Latino voters than President Joe Biden did when he was the likely Democratic nominee. In July – after the first presidential debate but before Trump was injured in a shooting at a campaign rally – equal shares of Latino voters said they would vote for Biden as for Trump (36% each) while 24% favored Robert F. Kennedy Jr. In a two-way matchup, 51% of Latino voters said in July that they’d support Biden and 46% said they’d back Trump – a narrower margin for Biden than for Harris today.

The presidential preferences of Latinos look similar to 2020, when Biden defeated Trump 59% to 38% among Latinos who voted . ( Jump to more about 2024 presidential preferences among demographic groups of Latino voters .)

Supporters of both […]

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